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Friday, August 9, 2013

Hit or Miss 08.09.13 for 08.12.13

Hit or Miss 08.09.13 for 08.12.13

Preamble
This week has been choppy and uneventful. Noise has been made out of reports that markets were historically known to be insensitive too. Meanwhile, good reports are apparently lingering throughout the markets without much merit. Is tapering that much of a fear among market participants? Richard Fisher, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, had an interview on CNBC yesterday and he made a good point. He said that corporations are not voicing their concerns over monetary policy; according to him, they are more concerned with regulation and uncertainty surrounding taxation. I would have to agree with him. I foresee tapering causing a momentary selloff that would be calmed by corporate earnings and economic reports.

Anyhow, below you could find my forecast for the following trading session along with the results from the previous forecast. 

08.09.13 One Day Forecast:
Nikkei 225: Higher, wrong
Gold: Lower, wrong
Silver: Lower, wrong
Soybeans: Lower, right
Ten Year Treasury Note: Lower, wrong
Australian Dollar: Lower, wrong

08.12.13 One Day Forecast:
Gold: Lower
Silver: Lower
Coffee: Lower

Ten Year: Lower

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