Daily
Market Color
05/01/2013
Economic
Reports &Headlines
We are going to begin today’s DMC
with two reports from Great Britain, the 300 year old western European country.
Market participants got a read on April’s home prices in the country via the
Nationwide HPI. Month over month, prices surprised to the downside when
compared to consensus, -10bps Vs 20bps. On a year over year basis the figure
came in lower than expected, 90bps Vs 120bps.
We got a read on manufacturing in
Great Britain with the CIPS PMI Mfg index. April’s PMI reading was better than
expected, although it was a sub-50 reading, 49.8 Vs 48.5.
On the domestic front, total motor
vehicle sales missed in April and grew at a slower rate than expected, 14.9m Vs
15.3m.
ADP employment in April
disappointed and came in lower than expected, 119k Vs 155k.
PMI Mfg expanded slightly more
than expected, 52.1 Vs 52.0.
ISM Mfg came in expanded less
than expected, 50.7 Vs 51.0
Construction spending showed a
surprise drop in March on a monthly basis, -170bps Vs 60bps.
The Federal Open Market Committee
issued their policy announcement and the committee members expressed that adjustments
to monthly asset purchases of treasury and agency securities will be contingent
upon employment and inflation. Monthly asset purchases could be increased if economic
conditions warrant further action from the Fed.
PMI Mfg in China came in lower
than March’s reading, but the report still managed to expand in April, 50.4 Vs
51.6.
Future
Reports
Tomorrow’s global economic calendar
is full, here are the most pertinent reports that I will be paying attention
to: PMI Mfg reports from France, Germany and the European Union, ECB policy announcement
and US jobless claims.
Trades
I closed
the Yen position because a significant amount of time passed since the Yen hit
a new low. So I will need the Yen to make new lows before I delve back into the
trade. Nearly a month of trading sessions went by and the Yen failed to break
through the pivotal 100 level. I will remain long US equities. The Fed
statement today indicates that an increase in monthly asset purchases is a
possibility if economic conditions begin to decline.
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